Análise da corrente de comércio Brasil China

Abstract

This paper analyzes the trade flow between Brazil and China, encompassing both imports and exports. The study examines the impacts of specialization in the key sectors of this trade flow, such as trade gains or potential enclaves that may arise as a consequence. Both purchases from and sales to China during the period are concentrated in specific sectors, as exemplified by exports predominantly represented by the aforementioned agricultural and mineral commodities. This paper seeks to comprehend this trade relationship through the decomposition formulas of the Menon-Dixon trade growth rate and, using the Grubel-Lloyd multiplier, it is possible to identify the intersectoral nature of this trade flow. The theoretical debate surrounding this specialization will also be presented with the aim of understanding its negative and positive aspects.