Análise da competitividade das exportações brasileiras do minério de outo: 2010 a 2023.

Abstract

Brazil, holder of significant gold reserves, faces a global scenario of growing demand for the mineral, driven by geopolitical and economic factors. In this context, the present study analyzes the competitiveness of Brazilian gold exports from 2010 to 2023. The methodology employed included descriptive statistical analyses of international trade in the mineral sector, with a specific focus on mineral supply and demand. For the competitiveness analyses, the Revealed Comparative Advantage, Regional Orientation, and Constant-Market-Share indices were used. The results showed that Brazil presented comparative advantage only in specific years, showing a trend of increasing participation in the international market. Furthermore, the study indicated that Brazilian exports are being directed to Canada. Through the Constant-Market-Share analysis, it was identified that in sub-period I compared to II, the export destination effect and competitiveness offset the impacts of the external scenario. In period II relative to period III, Brazil was driven by world trade in the sector and export destination, however, it lost competitiveness.